Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Too Many Rabbits

Here's a question I don't think I've ever heard anyone ask:

How many people is enough?

You might ask, "Enough for what?" That very question underscores my point though. At the beginning and throughout the majority of our history, population has not been a major concern for anyone except city planners, canvassers and tax collectors, except during times of war, when the recruiting sergeant would pop up for a bit, then slink away when the bleeding stopped and the burying started. So why would I ask this question?

There are too damned many people in the world. I am not being funny; while the resources currently available on a global scale are (if properly managed, which they never are) more than sufficient to go around, the current arrangement of various systems makes it impossible to get things made properly available. Worse, the population is growing. Booming. Bugger it all, "exploding" is almost not too strong a word.

It doesn't take a mathematician to understand that increasing demand for...well, everything coupled with a finite supply of that same everything is a recipe for disaster. The story is as old as the desert nomad culture, "Who controls the wells and how do you get enough water for yourself?" In the short term you need only exchange "water" for "oil" and you've got the tribal warfare brewing between China, India and everyone else in the bloody world.

Now that we've established population growth mightn't always be a good thing our course of action is fairly obvious and we're faced with only three questions; How many is enough, how do we get the number down, if need be, and how do we keep it at that level?

Well my answer to the first question is founded in my emerging theory of energy as currency; enough population to support a diverse, technological society and produce significantly greater amounts of energy than are consumed while also sustaining the liberty of persons to choose their own pursuits and compete for societal rewards. Please note that nowhere in there do you see the need to support a society of mass consumption.

Getting the number down is at once simple and enormously complex. Simply, you stop people from reproducing faster than they die off. More complexly; how, exactly?

Since its completely impractical to keep people from having sex (just ask the Catholic Church) you'll have to do two things; provide ready, convenient prophylaxis and strong incentive to use it. Well the first bit is pretty easy. Various barriers exist and there are several pills available and in the works. There is even a simple, inexpensive surgical procedure that men can have performed; it makes sense, men are usually then active pursuers and initiators of sex among our species.

Motivating people to stop having children is tremendously more difficult. I favor a financial goad. A substantial credit for having one child, revocation of that credit for the second and a penalty of some sort for the third.

Once population numbers drop to a desired range, you maintain levels by providing a credit for the second child and a substantial penalty for the third, of-set by social services for the child; children have no choice in getting born so there's nothing to be gained in punishing them for a parent's failure.

Now obviously I've described this in the context of a two-parent household arrangement. Since we all know that doesn't happen in every case, a better way to track it might be by counting children on a 1 for 1 basis against the parents, counting the father first and thereby leaving the decision primarily in the prospective mother's hands and leaving her options open in the case of multiple partners. A second or third child would count against the mother only if by the father of the first child and would spare the mother in the case of a child of rape, which would count against the father, if identified.

4 comments:

  1. Wow.. no seriously you took the words right out of my mouth.

    I confirm everything you have said here to be almost identical to my own train of thought..

    I used to think it was horrible for governments to tell their people whether or not they could have a certain amount of children, but then I learned that if left untold or free to do what they want, we have idiocy.

    Yesterday a coworker of mine told me he knew a girl who was deliberately having children for welfare checks. She's up to 5 children right now and refuses to have a 6th (thank Bob) because after the 5th you'll be cut off.

    I've had another coworker MAKE FUN of me because I paid rent.. she said that she had one welfare check at home and the other was developing in her womb, and that I was a sucker.

    It would also help if financial aid didn't reward people with kids. I understand wanting to help the "less fortunate" make better lives for themselves.. but that isn't what it seems like. You are dependent on your parents, financially, until you are 24. Even if they aren't paying your bills, FAFSA counts their taxes and not yours. However.. if you have a child at the age of 15 you are automatically "independent" of your parents.. even if you are living in their house and living completely off of them.

    What does that tell people like Miss 5 kids? Being responsible gets you nowhere; I'm going to have kids to pay for my college and my rent.

    Also, why can't people adopt? Personally I think that there are way too many children already out there that have no homes and no parents.. so if I do have kids (which is completely out of the question for the next 5-10 years) I think I may want to adopt. I see these families that have 10+ kids and .. I mean why? You want to have a huge family? Awesome! But can our world produce the resources to do that?

    It's the same concept as materialism; just because you want it doesn't mean you (or anyone else for that matter) need it. =/

    ReplyDelete
  2. Oh! And if you haven't seen "Idiocracy," you must. It's .. great. Just great. XD

    ReplyDelete
  3. I have been preaching the need to reduce the population for almost my entire intellegent life. What you recommend is something in the terms of old school Japan, or China... the problem is that people who are capable of making thier children into something are not breeding and the ones that are breeding are merely cannon fodder. If not for the wars, we would be over populated already - and we kinda are, but moreso in the end. War is a way of culling the population a little - but technology has made it so that we are not even performing the culling part of wars properly. But what do I know?

    I know that I drive through the city I "serve and protect" and think, "Damn. If we just demolish every other house here, the property values of all the remaining ones would rise, the veiw out one home's windows wouldn't be directly into the windows of the other, and there could be some greenery, some privacy, and a fantastic answer to the constant parking problems of this area. The city, overall, would clean up and present an even better look to those living here and those passing through. but instead, they continue to squeeze in more streets with more homes, homes in the backyards of homes, homes that are so huge and expensive that the owners no longer look to upkeep, but are more concerned with renting out one room to another family... its kinda really disguisting. there are people here who don't knwo what it is to have a yard bigger than a 5 by 5 squared foot area.... and what greenery they do have, they utilize as parking. That's just ONE city here. And growing! Overall, its disguisting.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Every major problem on the planet devolves back to overpopulation. The trouble is, it's not just a straightforward number-count. First, and always remember, people are not things. Second, a lot depends on exactly which part of the planet you're looking at.

    Quite a bit of the Third World still operates as a low-level agricultural society. That means that children are an economic asset. It also, usually, means that infant and child mortality are high; people have more kids in the hope that every other one will survive to adulthood. You needn't go too far back for that to have been the case here in the States; my great-grandmother had 13 kids. Five died before reaching maturity; about average for the time.

    Next, you have to start thinking about what constitutes an acceptable standard of living. Let's take something really simple: a clean floor. 1--Hire someone else to do it. 2--Buy a robot to do it. 3--Buy a motorized broom/mop to do it. 4--Buy a bristle broom and a string mop and bucket. Personally, I'm in the last category...but there are people who think that's really unreasonable and intolerable. Convince THEM they need to give up their luxury so someone else can have the string mop. To do that, you'll have to convince them that they are connected, in some significant fashion, to that other person.

    We have grown a society that is largely based on the ideas that: 1--bigger is better; 2--cheaper is better; 3--more is better; and, let it never be forgotten...younger is better, and appearance is everything.

    Hence, those huge homes on tiny lots that Wolf speaks of above are probably owned by young people who can't really afford them, which explains why they are desperately seeking to rent those rooms, and contributing to his parking problems. And they were built by developers who knew it's cheaper to put more units on smaller lots (less utility lines to run) and they could sell 'bigger is better'.

    But I digress.

    The best way to control population, generally speaking, is to improve the status of women, so that they have control of their own fertility. If you look at places where this has been implemented (parts of rural India come to mind) you find that number of births per woman goes down dramatically when women gain access to education, employment, and birth control. Much of this has to do with the particular social matrix, of course. But education and employment are just as much key factors as is birth control. When one's identity is totally defined by motherhood, both internally and socially, there is no reason to do anything else. Therefore, there must be a social matrix that supports a valued identity for women beyond motherhood, just as there must be an identity beyond youth.

    To quote one wiser than myself: An advanced young woman will be tamed by time and trouble; an advanced old woman is a force of nature, unstoppable.

    ReplyDelete